Live Tracking - HorsePal PRO

Races tracked

5766

Our pick won
23.5%
1353 / 5766

Our predicted winner placed in the top 3

56.6%

3265 / 5766

The race winner featured in our predicted top 3

53.7%

Days pending

ℹ️ Pre-race rating reflects card composition (race types, field sizes) and model confidence — not a prediction of individual races. Labels can cluster in streaks during unfavourable periods; April and January are historically the model's weakest months.

Date Pre-Race Rating Winners / Races Win % Place %

2026-08-25 Thin Day 3 / 17 17.6% 64.7%

2026-08-24 Risky Day 6 / 25 24.0% 60.0%

2026-08-23 Thin Day 4 / 20 20.0% 50.0%

2026-08-22 Thin Day 12 / 57 21.1% 43.9%

2026-08-21 Mixed Day 10 / 47 21.3% 40.4%

2026-08-20 Good Day 11 / 44 25.0% 45.5%

2026-08-19 Risky Day 3 / 36 8.3% 33.3%

2026-08-18 Thin Day 5 / 27 18.5% 40.7%

2026-08-17 Risky Day 6 / 25 24.0% 52.0%

2026-08-16 Mixed Day 8 / 30 26.7% 53.3%

2026-08-15 Good Day 17 / 62 27.4% 51.6%

2026-08-14 Good Day 16 / 44 36.4% 61.4%

2026-08-13 Good Day 6 / 31 19.4% 38.7%

2026-08-12 Risky Day 8 / 34 23.5% 55.9%

2026-08-11 Good Day 6 / 25 24.0% 56.0%

2026-08-10 Risky Day 7 / 27 25.9% 40.7%

2026-08-09 Good Day 6 / 27 22.2% 51.9%

2026-08-08 Risky Day 10 / 54 18.5% 48.1%

2026-08-07 Mixed Day 7 / 45 15.6% 44.4%

2026-08-06 Good Day 8 / 46 17.4% 65.2%

2026-08-05 Mixed Day 12 / 33 36.4% 60.6%

2026-08-04 Mixed Day 9 / 27 33.3% 59.3%

2026-08-03 Good Day 7 / 31 22.6% 58.1%

2026-08-02 Mixed Day 4 / 20 20.0% 50.0%

2026-08-01 Mixed Day 14 / 51 27.5% 54.9%

2026-07-31 Thin Day 5 / 49 10.2% 53.1%

2026-07-30 Good Day 8 / 37 21.6% 56.8%

2026-07-29 Good Day 9 / 32 28.1% 71.9%

2026-07-28 Good Day 7 / 34 20.6% 52.9%

2026-07-27 Thin Day 4 / 35 11.4% 51.4%

2026-07-26 Mixed Day 5 / 15 33.3% 66.7%

2026-07-25 Mixed Day 13 / 50 26.0% 50.0%

2026-07-24 Thin Day 8 / 54 14.8% 33.3%

2026-07-23 Good Day 11 / 50 22.0% 46.0%

2026-07-22 Good Day 6 / 39 15.4% 41.0%

2026-07-21 Good Day 5 / 28 17.9% 53.6%

2026-07-20 Mixed Day 10 / 33 30.3% 57.6%

2026-07-19 Good Day 6 / 28 21.4% 67.9%

2026-07-18 Mixed Day 9 / 56 16.1% 50.0%

2026-07-17 Good Day 12 / 54 22.2% 51.9%

2026-07-16 Good Day 11 / 47 23.4% 63.8%

2026-07-15 Good Day 9 / 38 23.7% 57.9%

2026-07-14 Thin Day 13 / 40 32.5% 57.5%

2026-07-13 Mixed Day 13 / 36 36.1% 69.4%

2026-07-12 Good Day 8 / 28 28.6% 53.6%

2026-07-11 Thin Day 15 / 57 26.3% 50.9%

2026-07-10 Thin Day 7 / 49 14.3% 44.9%

2026-07-09 Thin Day 5 / 40 12.5% 55.0%

2026-07-08 Mixed Day 9 / 33 27.3% 39.4%

2026-07-07 Risky Day 4 / 35 11.4% 51.4%

2026-07-06 Risky Day 8 / 35 22.9% 60.0%

2026-07-05 Risky Day 7 / 22 31.8% 72.7%

2026-07-04 Thin Day 16 / 56 28.6% 39.3%

2026-07-03 Mixed Day 7 / 48 14.6% 45.8%

2026-07-02 Mixed Day 12 / 47 25.5% 53.2%

2026-07-01 Risky Day 6 / 36 16.7% 41.7%

2026-06-30 Thin Day 9 / 46 19.6% 58.7%

2026-06-29 Good Day 9 / 34 26.5% 44.1%

2026-06-28 Good Day 6 / 30 20.0% 53.3%

2026-06-27 Good Day 10 / 51 19.6% 60.8%

2026-06-26 Good Day 13 / 48 27.1% 58.3%

2026-06-25 Good Day 3 / 33 9.1% 57.6%

2026-06-24 Risky Day 2 / 13 15.4% 61.5%

2026-06-23 Mixed Day 1 / 27 3.7% 40.7%

2026-06-22 Risky Day 9 / 33 27.3% 57.6%

2026-06-21 Thin Day 4 / 20 20.0% 65.0%

2026-06-20 Thin Day 8 / 48 16.7% 35.4%

2026-06-19 Thin Day 13 / 56 23.2% 50.0%

2026-06-18 Thin Day 11 / 43 25.6% 55.8%

2026-06-17 Mixed Day 6 / 35 17.1% 51.4%

2026-06-16 Mixed Day 6 / 33 18.2% 42.4%

2026-06-15 Risky Day 7 / 37 18.9% 48.6%

2026-06-14 Mixed Day 5 / 29 17.2% 44.8%

2026-06-13 Risky Day 21 / 58 36.2% 55.2%

2026-06-12 Mixed Day 13 / 58 22.4% 51.7%

2026-06-11 Thin Day 12 / 40 30.0% 50.0%

2026-06-10 Mixed Day 7 / 34 20.6% 52.9%

2026-06-09 Risky Day 1 / 33 3.0% 27.3%

2026-06-08 Thin Day 10 / 37 27.0% 56.8%

2026-06-07 Mixed Day 7 / 30 23.3% 53.3%

2026-06-06 Thin Day 14 / 58 24.1% 44.8%

2026-06-05 Risky Day 17 / 57 29.8% 47.4%

2026-06-04 Mixed Day 12 / 43 27.9% 53.5%

2026-06-03 Good Day 10 / 33 30.3% 66.7%

2026-06-02 Mixed Day 4 / 27 14.8% 59.3%

2026-06-01 Risky Day 11 / 42 26.2% 45.2%

2026-05-31 Good Day 6 / 34 17.6% 52.9%

2026-05-30 Thin Day 17 / 57 29.8% 64.9%

2026-05-29 Thin Day 9 / 42 21.4% 54.8%

2026-05-28 Mixed Day 13 / 47 27.7% 59.6%

2026-05-27 Good Day 8 / 42 19.0% 54.8%

2026-05-26 Good Day 13 / 48 27.1% 56.2%

2026-05-25 Good Day 8 / 41 19.5% 58.5%

2026-05-24 Good Day 9 / 29 31.0% 55.2%

2026-05-23 Thin Day 15 / 56 26.8% 48.2%

2026-05-22 Thin Day 14 / 43 32.6% 55.8%

2026-05-21 Thin Day 11 / 44 25.0% 52.3%

2026-05-20 Thin Day 8 / 40 20.0% 57.5%

2026-05-19 Thin Day 10 / 42 23.8% 54.8%

2026-05-18 Risky Day 11 / 42 26.2% 54.8%

2026-05-17 Thin Day 9 / 30 30.0% 60.0%

2026-05-16 Risky Day 8 / 60 13.3% 40.0%

2026-05-15 Mixed Day 15 / 52 28.8% 44.2%

2026-05-14 Thin Day 9 / 35 25.7% 57.1%

2026-05-13 Mixed Day 14 / 42 33.3% 66.7%

2026-05-12 Good Day 14 / 39 35.9% 61.5%

2026-05-11 Risky Day 11 / 42 26.2% 54.8%

2026-05-10 Good Day 6 / 22 27.3% 63.6%

2026-05-09 Thin Day 16 / 64 25.0% 48.4%

2026-05-08 Risky Day 9 / 49 18.4% 55.1%

2026-05-07 Thin Day 12 / 41 29.3% 51.2%

2026-05-06 Mixed Day 12 / 34 35.3% 52.9%

2026-05-05 Thin Day 11 / 32 34.4% 65.6%

2026-05-04 Risky Day 7 / 59 11.9% 45.8%

2026-05-03 Good Day 9 / 36 25.0% 44.4%

2026-05-02 Mixed Day 13 / 53 24.5% 69.8%

2026-05-01 Good Day 8 / 43 18.6% 60.5%

2026-04-30 Thin Day 11 / 43 25.6% 53.5%

2026-04-29 Thin Day 13 / 38 34.2% 60.5%

2026-04-28 Thin Day 7 / 35 20.0% 48.6%

2026-04-27 Risky Day 7 / 28 25.0% 50.0%

2026-04-26 Risky Day 5 / 22 22.7% 40.9%

2026-04-25 Mixed Day 15 / 59 25.4% 54.2%

2026-04-24 Good Day 10 / 51 19.6% 60.8%

2026-04-23 Thin Day 10 / 39 25.6% 51.3%

2026-04-22 Mixed Day 13 / 34 38.2% 70.6%

2026-04-21 Risky Day 10 / 29 34.5% 51.7%

2026-04-20 Thin Day 10 / 37 27.0% 48.6%

2026-04-19 Mixed Day 6 / 29 20.7% 48.3%

2026-04-18 Thin Day 9 / 45 20.0% 48.9%

2026-04-17 Thin Day 8 / 35 22.9% 42.9%

2026-04-16 Good Day 5 / 29 17.2% 51.7%

2026-04-15 Mixed Day 9 / 38 23.7% 52.6%

2026-04-14 Good Day 10 / 35 28.6% 51.4%

2026-04-13 Mixed Day 13 / 29 44.8% 65.5%

2026-04-12 Mixed Day 11 / 36 30.6% 52.8%

2026-04-11 Good Day 11 / 44 25.0% 43.2%

2026-04-10 Good Day 10 / 43 23.3% 62.8%

2026-04-09 Good Day 10 / 35 28.6% 57.1%

2026-04-08 Risky Day 13 / 38 34.2% 60.5%

2026-04-07 Good Day 2 / 23 8.7% 47.8%

2026-04-06 Good Day 10 / 52 19.2% 53.8%

2026-04-05 Good Day 10 / 44 22.7% 61.4%

2026-04-04 Thin Day 11 / 55 20.0% 43.6%

2026-04-03 Risky Day 2 / 22 9.1% 27.3%

2026-04-02 Risky Day 5 / 27 18.5% 59.3%

2026-04-01 Good Day 9 / 33 27.3% 54.5%

2026-03-31 Thin Day 9 / 27 33.3% 63.0%

Going Races Accuracy

Soft To Heavy 7 57.1%

Firm 47 34.0%

Good To Firm 1497 25.1%

Good To Yielding 229 24.9%

Good To Soft 351 24.8%

Good 2517 23.5%

Soft 191 21.5%

Standard 550 20.7%

Yielding 146 19.9%

Yielding To Soft 52 15.4%

Standard To Slow 119 15.1%

Standard / Slow 38 10.5%

Type Races Accuracy

NH Flat 112 28.6%

Hurdle 956 24.2%

Chase 509 23.4%

Flat 4189 23.2%

Race Class Races Accuracy

Novice 567 34.2%

Maiden 786 28.9%

Conditions/Stakes 619 28.8%

NH Flat 112 28.6%

Novice Handicap 122 23.0%

Handicap 3560 19.5%

Distance Races Accuracy

Sprint (≤6f) 1360 21.5%

7-8f 1390 24.2%

9-10f 637 20.6%

11-12f 467 24.8%

13-16f 550 27.5%

Staying (17f+) 1362 23.9%

Field Size Races Accuracy

2-5 runners 866 32.8%

6-8 runners 1969 27.7%

9-12 runners 1947 19.6%

13+ runners 984 14.3%

Course Races Accuracy

Hereford 26 42.3%

Ludlow 12 41.7%

Huntingdon 24 37.5%

Salisbury 78 35.9%

Kelso 29 34.5%

Bangor-on-Dee 33 33.3%

Yarmouth 122 32.8%

Hexham 49 32.7%

Catterick 77 32.5%

Plumpton 28 32.1%

Wetherby 22 31.8%

Doncaster 108 31.5%

Redcar 83 31.3%

Pontefract 87 31.0%

Perth 64 29.7%

Tramore 64 29.7%

Bath 99 29.3%

Stratford 62 29.0%

Cartmel 46 28.3%

Newbury 94 27.7%

Killarney 80 27.5%

Limerick 70 27.1%

Newmarket (July) 107 27.1%

York 104 26.9%

Windsor 139 26.6%

Hamilton 98 26.5%

Carlisle 83 26.5%

Worcester 80 26.2%

Gowran Park 74 25.7%

Down Royal 43 25.6%

Lingfield 87 25.3%

Newton Abbot 76 25.0%

Dundalk 8 25.0%

Sedgefield 12 25.0%

Ffos Las 89 24.7%

Leicester 89 24.7%

Fontwell 37 24.3%

Fakenham 25 24.0%

Leopardstown 88 23.9%

Listowel 21 23.8%

Market Rasen 59 23.7%

Sandown 76 23.7%

Brighton 68 23.5%

Haydock 60 23.3%

Exeter 13 23.1%

Taunton 13 23.1%

Dundalk (AW) 35 22.9%

Newcastle 22 22.7%

Musselburgh 88 22.7%

Navan 31 22.6%

Southwell (AW) 143 22.4%

Newcastle (AW) 76 22.4%

Chepstow 104 22.1%

Sligo 50 22.0%

Lingfield (AW) 137 21.9%

Chester 87 21.8%

Bellewstown 37 21.6%

Goodwood 90 21.1%

Naas 57 21.1%

Thirsk 91 20.9%

Nottingham 120 20.8%

Roscommon 53 20.8%

Warwick 39 20.5%

Ayr 93 20.4%

Galway 54 20.4%

Punchestown 64 20.3%

Curragh 114 20.2%

Wincanton 15 20.0%

Ripon 86 19.8%

Cork 88 19.3%

Downpatrick 43 18.6%

Aintree 29 17.2%

Epsom Downs 6 16.7%

Uttoxeter 72 16.7%

Fairyhouse 61 16.4%

Newmarket 87 16.1%

Beverley 100 16.0%

Kempton (AW) 120 15.8%

Wolverhampton (AW) 184 15.8%

Southwell 27 14.8%

Clonmel 29 13.8%

Kilbeggan 59 13.6%

Ascot 89 12.4%

Ballinrobe 59 11.9%

Wexford 74 10.8%

Epsom 47 10.6%

When our top pick has X% predicted probability, how often does it actually win?

Predicted range Races Avg predicted Actual win %

Under 15% 1846 12.0% 15.0%

15-20% 1615 17.4% 22.4%

20-25% 1163 22.2% 26.8%

25-30% 605 27.1% 31.4%

30-40% 430 33.9% 38.4%

40-50% 88 44.0% 42.0%

50%+ 19 56.5% 57.9%

📊 Live Model Performance